![]() ![]() The question is less a matter of "who" but more a matter of "how much". Just too many other players already under contract. I don't think he'll be qualified, and I don't think he'll be back. But it wouldn't be a huge shock to me if he wasn't qualified. Olver might be a numbers casualty, but I suspect he will be back on another modest deal. I'm thinking he signs for a couple years at $1.5 million or so. McGinn appears to be a player on the upside of his development, and, without a ton of leverage, is probably looking for (and at) a shorter deal here. Could the Avalanche have signed Matt Hunwick just to limit Ryan Wilson's bargaining power a bit? Maybe not on purpose, but the number of defensemen under contract does give the Avs a bit of leverage over Wilson, who has 2 more years before hitting unrestricted free agency. I'm guessing he signs a 2-year deal to get him to unrestricted status, at something around the $2-$2.5 million range. Downie is two years away from becoming a UFA. Mueller will probably have to stick with something near his $2.5 QO.unless the Avs decide his concussion worries are not worth the risk. David Jones just got $4 million a year for being a. That's not terrible, but it also means the player we saw last year (16 points in 32 games) is closer to the real Peter Mueller than the 20 points in 15 games Mueller before he was Blakeinated. Mueller now has 250 NHL games under his belt, and is pretty much a 1/2 a point per game person. Johnson is also eligible for arbitration (Duchene and O'Reilly are a year away from that) and might be the best candidate to do so. I'm guessing $3-$3.5, probably on a shorter deal. Johnson clearly has talent, but has under-performed a bit on the ice. This is another negotiation that might be very interesting, perhaps even difficult. I've used Tyler Myers before as a barometer for EJ, but Myer's $5.5 million cap hit is, well, a bit fucking ridiculous. The 3rd no-brainer-he'll-be-back player is Erik Johnson (another Brisson client). I think O'Reilly cashes in nicely on his 55-point season and could be looking at the $3-$3.5 million range.Įrik Johnson. Cogliano is currently making $2.4 million in a deal that will eat up one of his UFA-eligible years. In his first three years, the closest player I could find statistically to O'Reilly was Andrew Cogliano, a good player with nowhere near the intangibles that O'Reilly has shown. Radar is a tough to monetize because his offensive numbers in his first two years were fairly poor. ![]() (side note: Duchene's agent is Pat Brisson. I think these would be very interesting negotiations. The Avalanche don't usually do long-term deals and Duchene might feel he'd be better of signing a shorter deal and then hope for a couple of big seasons before cashing in. Based on those numbers, you'd probably place Duchene more like the $4.5 million range.if he and the Avs were willing to go long-term. Each of those players are making between $5 million and $5.5 million that also cover a couple of UFA years. ![]() At this point in his career, he has somewhat similar career numbers to James Neal, John Tavares and Bobby Ryan, although he is a shade behind in part due to the injury trouble last year. There is no doubt that he will be back with the Avs next year, the only question is how much. Duchene has 4 more years before he becomes a free agent. It's really more a matter of which players they want to keep.and at what price. As AD has pointed out, the Avs aren't really in big danger of being poached here. Players who don't receive a QO become unrestricted free agents.įirst, here are the 9 RFAs the Avalanche have (technically, Zach Cohen, Jonas Holos, Trevor Cann and Jake Newton are RFAs as well, but clubs usually don't tender minor leaguers and I don't expect any exceptions for these four). As a general rule, though, NHL clubs rarely try to sign other teams' RFAs. Players receiving a QO can still theoretically sign with another NHL club, but the original team has the right to match and will receive a bunch of draft picks if they decide not to match. NHL GMs - Dale Tallon included - have until Monday, June 25th to make a qualifying offer to that player (ranging between 100 and 110% of last year's salary). Read on, and see how this breaks down.Īny player without a contract who won't be at least 27 or have 7 NHL seasons accrued on July 1st is considered a restricted free agent. There are 9 and I don't believe all are a lock to return with the Avs next year. Today, I take on a slightly larger task, as I examine the upcoming RFAs for the Avalanche. Last week, I looked at the Avs' pending UFAs (namely, Shane O'Brien and Jay McClement).
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